UPDATE: The Chiefs won the coin toss with Heads and they Deffered.
Before the ball is snapped at Super Bowl 58 or any touchdowns are scored, the game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers opens with the coin toss!
The ceremonial call between heads or tails not only determines which team will kick and receive to open the Big Game, but it has become a Super Bowl odds betting staple, garnering a massive amount of money at sportsbooks. Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Super Bowl coin toss.
It’s a 50-50 proposition! Just make sure you get the best odds before you bet!
Coin toss odds
Super Bowl coin toss prop bets are among the handful of odds markets not decided between the whistles. Similar to national anthem props, coin toss props are quick and exciting, making them a great opener to your Big Game betting. According to BetMGM, the heads or tails is one of their 10 most-bet props for Super Bowl 58. Additionally, they say that 54% of the bets so far are on Heads, along with 55% of the money bet.
Heads or tails odds
| Heads | +100 | +100 | -104 | +100 | -105 |
| Tails | +100 | +100 | -104 | +100 | -105 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
| Heads | +100 | -101 |
| Tails | +100 | -101 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.
Super Bowl coin toss heads or tails odds will be some of the first odds released, and why not? It’s truly a 50-50 proposition. You’ll even notice that most sportsbooks offer reduced odds compared to the usual -110 seen when betting point spreads or Over/Under totals. For example, at -105, it’ll take a $105 bet to win $100.
Only bet at even money
By Jason Logan
Pick Made: 1/30
The Super Bowl coin toss is gambling at its purest. And depending on the odds you get for the ceremonial flip, it’s the most honest Big Game bet available.
The odds for heads or tails to show are 50/50 every time, regardless of any outside factors, game script, coaching plans, injuries, or human error – all those things that can blow up our best-laid bets. But not all books price it as such.
Some spots put a flat -110 rate on the coin toss, implying a 52.38% chance for both heads and tails. Most shops reduce the juice to -105, which is still 51.22%.
However, we’re seeing more and more operators offer EVEN (+100) money – 50% probability a side – on the Super Bowl coin toss.
This is more of a market undercut on a popular prop (because they know you’ll wager on more than the toss). Bet limits are pretty low on the coin toss, so don’t expect to get down “racks on racks on racks” on heads or tails.
Treat the Super Bowl LVIII coin toss as an appetizer to your Big Game betting experience, like a bowl of soup or those edamame beans at the sushi restaurant. It gets the blood pumping before kickoff, but don’t get too nuts with it, and understand that there’s no way to handicap head or tails.
Just ensure you’re betting this at EVEN money and getting rare fair odds from the bookies for once.
Pick: Heads +100
Which team wins the coin toss
| San Francisco 49ers | +100 | +100 | -104 | +100 | -105 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +100 | +100 | -104 | +100 | -105 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
| San Francisco 49ers | +100 | -105 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +100 | -105 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.
Will the team call the coin toss correctly?
| Yes | +100 | -105 |
| No | +100 | -105 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.
Will the team that won the coin toss win the game?
| Yes | -105 | -104 | -110 |
| No | -105 | -104 | -110 |
Odds as of February 11, 2024.
Super Bowl coin toss history
The Super Bowl coin toss prop has been a staple of Big Game betting for decades now, ushered in with the explosion of online sportsbooks in the late 1990s. And since then, football fans have been trying to find an inside edge when it comes to capping the coin toss.
However, as any statistician will tell you, a coin toss is a 50/50 proposition every time you flip it. The result of the coin toss isn’t influenced or impacted by the previous results or any past trends that always seem to pop up come Super Sunday.
That said, here are some of the notable records and trends around the Super Bowl coin toss:
Tails out front
Looking at the past 54 Super Bowls, Tails has been the winning side 29 times, including six of the past seven Big Games, while Heads has won 25 times.
NFC is dominant in toss
The NFC holds a significant edge in Super Bowl coin toss wins with 36, including a 14-year streak between Super Bowl XXXII (1998) and Super Bowl XLV (2011), while the AFC has won only 20 tosses. While this record is intriguing, the NFC’s dominance in Super Bowl coin flips is completely random.
Winning the flip doesn’t mean winning the game
The winner of the coin toss is far from a shoo-in to win the Lombardi Trophy, going just 26-32 (44.8%) in the past 58 Super Bowl games.
Since 2008, when a rule change allowed coin toss winners to defer receiving to the second half, winners of the Super Bowl coin toss have opted to take the ball to begin the second half in 12 of the past 13 NFL championships. New Orleans in Super Bowl XLIV (2010) was the only coin toss winner to elect to receive the ball to open the game during this span.
| 1 | Heads | Packers | Yes |
| 2 | Tails | Raiders | No |
| 3 | Heads | Jets | Yes |
| 4 | Tails | Vikings | No |
| 5 | Tails | Cowboys | No |
| 6 | Heads | Dolphins | No |
| 7 | Heads | Dolphins | Yes |
| 8 | Heads | Dolphins | Yes |
| 9 | Tails | Steelers | Yes |
| 10 | Heads | Cowboys | No |
| 11 | Tails | Raiders | Yes |
| 12 | Heads | Cowboys | Yes |
| 13 | Heads | Cowboys | No |
| 14 | Heads | Rams | No |
| 15 | Tails | Eagles | No |
| 16 | Tails | 49ers | Yes |
| 17 | Tails | Dolphins | No |
| 18 | Heads | Raiders | Yes |
| 19 | Tails | 49ers | Yes |
| 20 | Tails | Bears | Yes |
| 21 | Tails | Broncos | No |
| 22 | Heads | Redskins | Yes |
| 23 | Tails | 49ers | Yes |
| 24 | Heads | Broncos | No |
| 25 | Heads | Bills | No |
| 26 | Heads | Redskins | Yes |
| 27 | Heads | Bills | No |
| 28 | Tails | Cowboys | Yes |
| 29 | Heads | 49ers | Yes |
| 30 | Tails | Cowboys | Yes |
| 31 | Heads | Patriots | No |
| 32 | Tails | Packers | No |
| 33 | Tails | Falcons | No |
| 34 | Tails | Rams | Yes |
| 35 | Tails | Giants | No |
| 36 | Heads | Rams | No |
| 37 | Tails | Buccaneers | Yes |
| 38 | Tails | Panthers | No |
| 39 | Tails | Eagles | No |
| 40 | Tails | Seahawks | No |
| 41 | Heads | Bears | No |
| 42 | Tails | Giants | Yes |
| 43 | Heads | Cardinals | No |
| 44 | Heads | Saints | Yes |
| 45 | Heads | Packers | Yes |
| 46 | Heads | Patriots | No |
| 47 | Heads | Ravens | Yes |
| 48 | Tails | Seahawks | Yes |
| 49 | Tails | Seahawks | No |
| 50 | Tails | Panthers | No |
| 51 | Tails | Falcons | No |
| 52 | Heads | Patriots | No |
| 53 | Tails | Rams | No |
| 54 | Tails | 49ers | No |
| 55 | Heads | Chiefs | No |
| 56 | Heads | Bengals | No |
| 57 | Tails | Chiefs | Yes |
| 58 | Heads | Chiefs | Yes |
